Markelle Fultz Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has posted 6.1 assists per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Markelle Fultz will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance across the board.

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