Markelle Fultz Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Markelle Fultz

NBA · Player Props

Markelle Fultz

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Markelle Fultz Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Markelle Fultz has compiled 6.1 assists per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
Markelle Fultz will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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