Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mark Williams comes in at the 94th percentile for field goal efficiency with a stellar 59.1% rate this year.
The number of points scored against Jakob Poeltl has been very high (15.3 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (86th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 6th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Mark Williams has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The 7th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Mark Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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