Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has converted 69.8% of his field goals over the last 8 games on the road, 7.6% higher than he's converted overall this year without the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. Bismack Biyombo is a good one for 3-pointers; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 59.4% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).
The Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Mark Williams has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Mark Williams rates in the 6th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing away from home, logging 0.1 per game this year.
Mark Williams has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (89th percentile).
The Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The faceoff with Bismack Biyombo in regard to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting just 1.7 free throws per game this year when they are on the away squad.