Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has converted 69.8% of his field goals over the last 8 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year without the home court advantage.
The matchup against Onyeka Okongwu is a positive one; he has allowed a monstrous 15.7 points per game while on his home court when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (79th percentile).
The 8th-speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Mark Williams places in the 6th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc away from his home court, averaging 0.1 per game this year.
Mark Williams has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).
The Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
Mark Williams will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.

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