Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has made 69.8% of his shots from the field over the last 8 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage.
The matchup with Kel'el Ware ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs converting a colossal 1.4 three-pointers per game this year when they are on the away squad.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.
The Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mark Williams has attempted 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.1 three-point shots per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Mark Williams places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to offense, the Charlotte Hornets's lackluster 100.7 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce plays for the Hornets.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Kel'el Ware has been remarkably low this year (2.4 free throws per game: 10th percentile).

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