Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has successfully made 67.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 11 games at home, 13.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season with the home court advantage.
Mark Williams has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more plays for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Mark Williams figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Mark Williams measures in the 5th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 0.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Mark Williams lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.
With respect to offense, the Hornets's subpar 100.4 points per game rates fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Naz Reid is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a mere 24.6% of their three-pointers (10th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.

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