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Mark Williams

Mark Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2025

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mark Williams has successfully made 67.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 11 games at home, 14.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Mark Williams has played 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when Lopez is on the visiting team and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.0 three-point shots per game (97th percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.

The Hornets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Mark Williams comes in at the 5th percentile for three-point efficiency with a poor 0.0% rate this year.

Mark Williams has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this season.

When it comes to shooting, the Hornets's unimpressive 107.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-lowest in the league this year.

The 6th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.

The showdown with Brook Lopez in regard to getting to the free-throw line slots into the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.0 free throws per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

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