Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Charlotte Hornets are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 2nd-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Mark Williams has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite high this year (4.6 free throws per game when they are at home: 93rd percentile).
Mark Williams stands to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has made a lowly 62.7% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 68.3 mark last year.
Among all players in the league, Mark Williams places in the 11th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing at home, putting up 0.0 per game this year.
Mark Williams has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 11 games while playing at home, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The showdown with Isaiah Hartenstein registers in the 7th percentile with the other team's starting Cs hitting just 15.3% of their 3-point attempts this year when they have the home court advantage.

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