Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has made an impressive 78.6% of his field goals this season, a significant increase from his 64.7 rate last season.
In contrast to last season's 18.7 clip, Mark Williams's playing time has risen this season to 24.7 minutes per game.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Bucks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 threes per game this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting Cs have compiled the 15th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.8%).
The Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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