Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 64.7% mark, Mark Williams's field goal prowess has increased this year to 76.2%.
The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for field goals; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (68.3%).
The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Mark Williams slots into the 18th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 0.0 per game this year.
Compared to last year's 2.5 rate, Mark Williams's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 3.0.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Heat are on the road (14th-least in the league).

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