Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

New York Knicks vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 12:12 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 64.7% rate, Mark Williams's shooting efficiency has increased this season to 75.7%.
Mark Williams has tallied an impressive 27.8 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 15.4 minutes per game last season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have put up 15.8 points per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 14thbest in in the NBA on the road with 16.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Hornets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Mark Williams figures to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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