Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has sunk 90.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one; when the Wizards are on their home court, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs since the start of last season (16.0).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Wizards).
Mark Williams has attempted 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 2nd percentile out of all players in the league.
The Hornets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
The Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mark Williams ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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