Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has attempted 9.2 shots per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Mark Williams has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 7.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (1.9).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Mark Williams will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should decrease plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are the visiting team (6th-least in the league).