Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has converted 64.1% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are away from home (28th-most in the NBA).
Mark Williams will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 2nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Suns is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 15 games (9.1).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hornets.
On the road, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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