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Mark Williams

Mark Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mark Williams has successfully made 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • While on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (22nd-most in the NBA).
  • Mark Williams will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 2nd percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (10.0).
  • The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.
  • As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, totaling a measly 17.4 free throw attempts per game.

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