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Mark Williams

Mark Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mark Williams has made 80.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a good one for treys; when Jokic is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have averaged an enormous 1.0 treys per game (97th percentile).

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Hornets.

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Jokic is on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.2 foul shots per game (17th percentile).

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