Mark Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 7.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Bulls have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mark Williams will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Mark Williams has averaged 0.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 14th percentile.
Mark Williams has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hornets.

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