Marcus Smart Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Marcus Smart

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2026

Updated Mar 15, 2026 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Lakers will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The matchup against Denver is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are on the road (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.1).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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