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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, resulting in a good matchup.

The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA on the road this year.

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Marcus Smart ranks in the 77th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off the mark field goals when playing on the road, registering a massive 6.0 per game this year.

Compared to last year's 33.7% clip, Marcus Smart's 3-point prowess has dropped this year to 22.8%.

In contrast to last year's 0.1 clip, Marcus Smart's technical fouls have surged this year to 0.3 per game.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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