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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

The 8th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Among all players in the league, Marcus Smart places in the 85th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a a remarkable 89.3% rate this year.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (14th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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