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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Marcus Smart registers in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing away from home, putting up 5.2 per game this year.

The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games as the road team.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.

When it comes to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 107.0 points per game places fewest in the league this year.

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home (15th-least in the league).

Marcus Smart ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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