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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.8 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Marcus Smart has played 32.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.

The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).

With respect to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 35.0% rate of drained threes away from their home court settles in as the 4th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 12.5 shot attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, creating a challenging matchup.

The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.4 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Miami Heat are the visiting team (9th-least in the league).

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