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Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Marcus Smart ranks in the 88th percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, compiling 5.8 per game since the start of last season.Among all players in the league, Marcus Smart comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.0 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.The matchup against Portland is a favorable one; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs since the start of last season (18.9).The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Marcus Smart has attempted and missed 5.9 field goal attempts per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 77th percentile for misses .Among all players in the league, Marcus Smart registers in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.6 fouls per game since the start of last season.As it relates to shots from downtown, the Grizzlies's poor 34.6% rate of drained threes while playing on the road rates 6th-lowest in the league since the start of last season.The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
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