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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 5/29/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 4.7 threes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Marcus Smart has played 31.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Miami is a tough one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a measly 19.9 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are away from home (8th-least in the NBA).

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