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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing away from home.

Marcus Smart has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart has made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.6).

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls while on the road: worst in the NBA this year with a mere 20.0 free throw attempts per game.

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