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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 4.8 3-pointers per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.

Marcus Smart has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.2).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.0 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Heat are on the road (5th-least in the NBA).

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