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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 5/3/2023

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has scored 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's scored over the course of the season.

Marcus Smart has tallied 30.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart has made 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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