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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 7.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Marcus Smart has played 30.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup against Atlanta is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (91st percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 25 games with a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the NBA).

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