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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.4 treys per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Marcus Smart has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Sacramento is a favorable one for threes; when the Kings are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.7%).

The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart has shot and missed 1.0 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's missed in all games this season.

The matchup against the Kings may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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