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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 13.5 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Marcus Smart has sunk 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made overall this year.

Marcus Smart has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 13th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.9).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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