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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 13.5 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Marcus Smart has sunk 2.4 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's sunk overall this season.

Marcus Smart has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The matchup against the Knicks is a tough one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-lowest three rate in the league this year (32.2%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.

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