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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 1/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has sunk 48.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 5.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing at home.

Marcus Smart has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Marcus Smart has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Celtics have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).

The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.2 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one; away from home they have allowed the least points per game in the league to their opposition this year (123.4).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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