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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 7.8 treys per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Marcus Smart has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league away from home this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.2).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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