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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has successfully made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.

Marcus Smart has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played overall this year.

The Boston Celtics check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games at home in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 21st-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.1).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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