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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games as the road team.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has posted just 5.0 assists per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.0 assists per game last year.

Marcus Smart has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

Marcus Smart ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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