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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 5/29/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has posted 6.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 94th percentile.

Marcus Smart has played 31.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

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