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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 6.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.

Marcus Smart has tallied 31.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

Without the home court advantage, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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