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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has totaled 6.0 assists per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.

Marcus Smart has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (87th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

More Marcus Smart Player Props

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