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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has compiled 6.1 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile.

Marcus Smart has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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