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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 4/27/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has posted 6.2 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 96th percentile.

Marcus Smart has played 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.

The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance across the board.

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