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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marcus Smart has averaged 6.3 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.
  • Marcus Smart has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
  • The Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Hawks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marcus Smart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Marcus Smart will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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