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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has posted 6.3 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 97th percentile.

Marcus Smart has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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