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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 5.9 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 95th percentile.

Marcus Smart has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise plays for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for overall this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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