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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marcus Smart has put up 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile.
  • Marcus Smart has tallied 32.1 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marcus Smart has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
  • The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Marcus Smart will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.

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