Marcus Morris Sr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Marcus Morris Sr.

NBA · Player Props

Marcus Morris Sr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 2:18 AM EST

Analysis

Marcus Morris Sr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marcus Morris Sr. has posted 4.2 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 80th percentile.
When playing away from home, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Marcus Morris Sr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Marcus Morris Sr. has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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