Marcus Morris Sr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Marcus Morris Sr.

NBA · Player Props

Marcus Morris Sr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Marcus Morris Sr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marcus Morris Sr. has posted 4.2 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this standard over this stretch: 80th percentile.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Clippers.
Marcus Morris Sr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Marcus Morris Sr. has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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