Marcus Morris Sr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Marcus Morris Sr.

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Marcus Morris Sr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marcus Morris Sr. has attempted 12.5 shots per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Marcus Morris Sr. has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
The LA Clippers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Clippers.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 22 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (27th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Marcus Morris Sr. has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (12.2).
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).