Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.9 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games when playing away from home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.3 minutes per game while on the road this year.
In regard to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 119.5 points per game comes in as the 4th-most in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Bucks will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Malik Beasley ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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