Malik Beasley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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Malik Beasley

NBA · Player Props

Malik Beasley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 29, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Malik Beasley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malik Beasley has made a whopping 45.1% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 37.6 mark last year.
Malik Beasley has played a whopping 29.8 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 23.6 minutes per game last season.
As it relates to scoring, the Bucks's outstanding 120.6 points per game places 3rd-strongest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making this a strong matchup.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Malik Beasley should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

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